From UNCTAD - 26 September 2007
Reliance on domestic financial
resources will enable Africa to determine its own development priorities, new
UNCTAD report says
The
contents of this press release and the related Report must not be quoted or
summarized in the print, broadcast or electronic media before 26
September 2007, 17:00 GMT
"Developmental states" are the key to boosting domestic
savings and productive investments in Africa, contends Economic Development in
Africa 2007
Making greater use of domestic resources can help African countries achieve
sustained and higher economic growth and over the long term will reduce
overdependence on donor funding and on the rules that apply to it, a new UNCTAD
report says. The report argues that increased use of domestic financial
resources and more productive investments would provide African leaders the
"policy space" to define development programmes that reflect their countries´
genuine priorities, giving true meaning to the rhetoric of "ownership" of
economic policies. "Developmental states," in which governments actively manage
economic policy to encourage greater economic diversification, are in a better
position to implement this agenda, says Economic Development in Africa
2007: Reclaiming Policy Space: Domestic Resource Mobilization and Developmental
States (1).
The report contends that the "developmental state" has been a crucial element
in the phenomenal economic growth of several Asian economies. Such economies
also have focused much greater attention on increasing and retaining domestic
financial resources and using them to fuel rapid and sustained economic growth
as well as job creation -- an approach African countries should emulate. The
strategy is different from the recent African experience, in which the
philosophy has been to reduce government participation in the economy to conform
with the prevailing ideology in favour of market opening. The report, however,
warns that state involvement in development should not be seen as repeating past
mistakes, such as overprotection and interventionism. It argues that what
African countries need is better state, and not less state.
Mobilizing "hidden" African domestic financial resources
Facts suggest that there are potential sources of domestic finance that
could, if properly mobilized and efficiently invested, over time reduce
significantly African aid dependence by providing alternative development
resources, the report claims.
Public finance reforms, mainly the introduction of Value Added Taxes (VAT)
have been successful in raising government revenue only to a limited extent
without compensating for the revenue losses due from a reduction in trade taxes.
Nevertheless, there still is great potential for further revenue increases.
According to African tax experts, improving collection alone could double tax
revenues in some countries. Large variations in the ratios of tax revenues to
GDP -- from 38% in Algeria and Angola to less than 10% in Chad, Niger and Sudan
-- suggest that countries with very low ratios have the potential to increase
revenues dramatically.
The informal sector has become an increasingly important segment of economic
activity in many African countries due to economic liberalization and state
roll-back, policies pursued over the last 25 years. It accounts for 58% of the
gross national products (GNP) of Tanzania and Nigeria and for 28% of the GNP of
South Africa. If appropriate measures could be taken to formalize economic
activities, a larger tax base would potentially increase the continent´s
development resource base. This would increase the capacity of the formal sector
to finance the productive investments needed to sustain higher rates of economic
growth.
For a number of African countries, workers´ remittances are an important
source of development finance. Officially recorded remittances peaked at about
US$ 16 billion in 2004, with around two-thirds of the amount accruing to North
Africa. It is widely understood that unrecorded flows are significant. When
these are added to official amounts, it is largely acknowledged that remittances
are the main source of foreign currency for several countries. In such
countries, they provide not only more financial resources than official
development assistance (ODA) and foreign direct investment (FDI), but are far
more stable sources of income. Moreover, remittances are non-debt-generating,
are free of conditionalities, and suffer from fewer "leakages" in the form of
transfer inefficiencies and corruption. Channelling more remittances through
African countries´ formal banking systems would increase their developmental
impact considerably, the report says. Most remittances now spur consumption, but
governments could encourage their greater use for investment.
Capital flight continues to deny African economies large amounts of the
continent´s resources for investment. If these funds were used for productive
investments at home, they could create jobs and provide or boost the incomes of
large segments of the population now unemployed or underemployed. It has been
estimated that the stock of capital flight from Africa is higher than the stock
of the continent´s debt, prompting some analysts to conclude that Africa is a
"net creditor" vis-à-vis the rest of the world. Stopping this financial
haemorrhage while putting in place appropriate measures to repatriate resources
held abroad would reduce the current shortfall in financial resources needed for
Africa´s development, the report argues.
With these possibilities in mind -- and with appropriate reforms, especially
in the financial and fiscal sectors -- Africa should be able to mobilize
considerably more domestic resources to finance development programmes, the
report contends.
Internal integration is vital for high savings, better investment,
and sustained growth
"External integration" into the world economy as opposed to "internal
integration" has recently been the policy advice of choice to African countries.
The limits of this approach have become increasingly clear as the relatively
high rates of growth experienced in Africa in recent years have not resulted in
significant gains in living standards. This growth has been underpinned by the
current boom in the commodity sector, particularly minerals, produced in
"enclave industries" with little or no linkages to the rest of the economy. As a
result, very few jobs have been created, leading to the phenomenon of jobless
growth. To benefit a large proportion of a country´s population, economic growth
must be generated by internally integrated economies, the report says. This
requires strengthening linkages between rural and urban business activities, and
between different economic sectors. Sectoral integration, in turn, spurs product
diversification and economic transformation. That can mean greater output growth
and more savings, leading to increased investment which sustains the process of
economic growth. The report says that one step towards internal integration is
to address some of the market failures plaguing African economies, particularly
those relating to poor infrastructure.
The report argues that a strategic allocation of investment to sectors with
the strongest linkages to the rest of the economy can create more jobs and
generate growth that benefits larger proportions of African populations. Even if
it is unlikely that additional domestic savings alone will immediately close the
resource shortfall -- evaluated at 10% to 20% of GDP -- to allow achievement of
the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), including halving extreme poverty by
2015, they will give African countries the policy space to craft the most
appropriate development strategies.
Developmental states are best able to carry out Africa´s development
agenda
The development challenges facing Africa are such that the private sector is
unlikely to play the lead role in addressing them, the report contends.
Consensus is now building around the idea that African countries need better
rather than less state. The "developmental state" has been instrumental in the
successful economic transformation of high-growing Asian economies. It also
underpinned the immediate post-colonial development of several African
countries. Such developmental states can re-emerge in Africa, the report
contends, particularly if current improvements in governance are deepened to
ensure the efficient and strategic allocation of resources to produce the
maximum impact on development.
Developmental states would not only enable African governments to mobilize
domestic resources but allow them to encourage long-term productive investment,
the report says. Governments could design credit allocation policies, public
investment and expenditure policies, and incentives for the private sector to
invest in priority areas. The report says that strategic integration into the
world economy may require different doses of protectionism and openness,
depending on timing and circumstance.
A successful developmental state is one that creates institutions that
genuinely address development challenges, the report notes. There is, however,
no magic formula. Building such institutions is a learning-by-doing process,
adjustable and flexible enough to allow even for the possibility of failure.
True "ownership" means allowing sufficient policy space to undertake such a
learning process, leading to the robust institutions required to push
development forward, the report concludes.
Endnotes
1.Economic Development in Africa
2007: Reclaiming Policy Space: Domestic Resource Mobilization and Developmental
States (Sales No. E.07.II.D.12, ISBN-13: 978-92-1-112723-2) may be
obtained from UN sales offices at the addresses below or from UN sales agents in
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