A study prepared for the Fabian
Society
W. Arthur Lewis
The principles of economic planning
New Edition with a new Introduction
First published in Great Britain in 1949 by Dennis Dobson Ltd, and George Allen and Unwin Ltd.
Second Impression 1950
Second Edition, Third Impression 1952
Fourth Impression 1954
Contents
Cover, Contents and Preface to the Third Impression
THIS book was originally published without a Preface. The reason for
this is that it was never meant to be a book. The Fabian Society asked for
a pamphlet on the economic perplexities of the moment, and this >\as
what 1 set out to write. Ur fortunately the perplexities were so numerous
that the pamphlet turned up at 120 pages, instead of their usual thirty,
So it was put between hard covers.
I set out these facts not merely to explain the absence of a Preface, but
also to account for* some of the book's more curious features. It is not,
as its title might suggest, ati academic study of theoretical principles, but
is rather a political statement. Neither does it cover the whole field of
planning, but concentrates rather on some topics which happened to be
of special interest in Great Britain in the summer of 1948, vvhen it was
written. Perhaps it was wrongly named. It should have been called a
*Brief Statement on some Current Topics in Planning*; but it is too late
now to change its name.
I
Why Plan?
THE dispute between planning and laisser-faire is not a dispute
between order and anarchy in economic life. All serious
political thinkers, and not least the laisser-faire philosophers,
start with the proposition that production and distribution
must be controlled to the service of social ends. The point at
issue is simply how much of this control may be invisible, and
how much must be visible. The invisible control, extolled by
the laisser-faire protagonists, is that which the market exercises; the
"visible control" favoured by the planners, is that which is
organised by the state.
II
Fair Shares for All
THE first aim of socialists, prized above all others, is equality
of income. Equality is desired for its own sake, in terms of
moral justice, and it is desired also because the surplus of
production should be used not to provide luxuries for a few
but to abolish poverty, with its evil consequences of ill health,
squalor, ignorance, ugliness and the waste of hundreds of
millions of human lives. Fortunately, men have ceased, at
least in this country, to dispute that it is the duty of the state
to even up the distribution of income; the questions left are
only how much and how.
Here there are two quite separate issues, relating to income
derived from personal effort, and income derived from property.
III
Money
THE circulation of money determines the level of prices and
of employment in a country, and fluctuations in the level of
monetary circulation determine whether that country shall
suffer inflation or deflation. These issues are too important to
be left to the control of private enterprise; that has long been
agreed, and in every modern country the government itself
controls the supply of money and seeks to influence the demand.
Modern progress in monetary control involves not new objectives,
but simply new techniques.
IV
Investment
THE principal urge towards planning in modern states is the
desire to achieve a much higher level of investment than is
likely in an unplanned society. This is often confused with
planning for stability but has nothing to do with it. In early
formulations of the Keynesian doctrines it was thought to be
necessary to plan investment not to keep it high, but to keep
it steady, because it was believed that income and employment
are a direct function of investment. This is true, or true for all
practical purposes, if investment is defined to include everything
except consumption, as Keynesians do define it, but not if
investment is meant in the narrower and everyday sense.
Income and employment can be kept steady through stimulating
or restricting consumption by means of budgetary deficits and
surpluses, and the maintenance of full employment does not
itself demand any control over investment. The reason governments
plan investment, in Russia or Eastern Europe, or in the
U.K., is to get a higher level of investment than would occur
if investment depended solely on the voluntary savings of the
public.
V
Foreign Trade
IN the laisser-faire philosophy at its most extreme there is no
place for a special chapter on foreign trade. No significant
difference between domestic and foreign trade is recognised.
Trade between London and Paris or New York does not differ
from trade between Cardiff and Glasgow, and needs no special
treatment. Foreign trade is self-regulating, and raises no
problems that domestic trade does not raise. There may be
people who still believe all this, but they are now very rare.
VI
Mobility
VII
The Social Control of Business
Efficiency depends in the first place upon research, and upon
its application. Competition stimulates research, but since only
the largest firms can afford fundamental research, the result,
in some industries, is to increase the advantages of large firms
and to diminish the prospects of competition; and in other
industries predominantly small scale, the result is that little
research occurs. One remedy for both of these is cooperative
research, which has been officially sponsored and assisted in
this country for the past thirty years. Everyone agrees that
cooperative research should be on a larger scale, and many
think that every firm should be made to contribute, since all
may benefit, and that as much emphasis as possible should be
placed on cooperative at the expense of private research, so
that new knowledge may be made available to all.
VIII
Nationalisation
THE nationalisation of industry is not essential to planning;
a government can do nearly anything it wants to do by way of
controlling industry without resorting to nationalisation, as in
Nazi Germany. Nationalisation is merely one of the ways of
achieving ends; better for some ends, and not so good for
others. We may begin by classifying the reasons for which
nationalisation has been advocated...
IX
How to Plan
... so far we have confined ourselves to governmental planning
of that part of the economic system which is traditionally the
sphere of private enterprise. Beyond this there is, of course, the
traditional sphere of public enterprise, which even in the most
laisser-faire country now usually absorbs about 20 per cent of
the national income. We shall not discuss this sphere of planning
because the need for such planning and its broad nature are
beyond controversy. Everyone agrees that each government
department has to decide what it is trying to do, and how and
when it intends to do it, and this is all that planning involves
- for education, defence, conservation of natural resources,
town and country planning, the network of communications-
for everything for which the government is responsible it
must have a plan of its objectives.
Appendix 1:
On Economic Union
ECONOMIC union between adjacent countries is widely canvassed
today for two reasons. The first is to facilitate discrimination
against the United States of America and its deflationary
export surplus. Such discrimination, as we have seen, is very
desirable, but economic union is rather a big project to use
in order to achieve it. The simplest way to bring about this
discrimination is for nations to make a joint demand on the
United States to appreciate the dollar; or alternatively to effect
a joint depreciation of non-dollar currencies. Or discrimination
can be effected simply by agreeing to cut dollar imports as much
as possible, while relaxing controls on imports from nondollar
sources.
Appendix 2:
On Planning in Backward Countries
PLANNING is at the same time much more necessary and much
more difficult to execute in backward than in advanced countries.
In the first place, planning requires a strong, competent and
incorrupt administration. It must be strong enough to be able
to enforce its measures, such as to collect taxes from the
peasantry, or to enforce a rationing system without black
markets, measures which even so ancient a government as that
of France has not found itself fully able to enforce. It must
have a competent administrative service, with trained personnel,
able to understand the large issues that are at stake, and to act
reasonably and rapidly. And it must be free of all charge of
corruption, since, whereas men will bear many restrictions from
a government which they believe to be acting fairly and solely
in the public interest (however mistakenly) without respect of
persons, they will sooner or later resist violently measures
which are corruptly administered, however acceptable the
measures themselves may be.
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