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The political economy of development
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 Introduction

Income Poverty:

The latest global numbers

Recent regional trends

Prospects for poverty reduction

Trends in inequality

 Social Indicators

  What the Poor Say


Income Poverty

Trends in inequality

Inequality is a concept with many facets which can be measured in different ways, and for which data on trends over time are available for fewer countries and are less reliable than data on the incidence of poverty. Looking at inequality within countries, regions, and the world, there are some results on which there appears to be broad agreement.

  • Inequality is very high in many countries (see Table 7 for examples).

At the country level:

  • Trends in inequality within countries show no overall statistical pattern. The major exception is the sharp, systematic worsening in Eastern Europe and Central Asia since the transition. In the rest of the developing world, there is increasing evidence of forces tending to increase inequality. However, these are often offset by countervailing forces, especially from the expansion of education.
  • Countries that experienced the largest decreases in Gini coefficients are Korea, Indonesia and Malaysia between the early 1980s and the late 1980s-early 1990s.
  • Countries that experienced the largest increases in Gini coefficients over roughly the same period are China, Russia, and Thailand (and Malaysia's decline was reversed in the early 1990s). Generally, the increases experienced by all FSU countries are quite large.
  • Countries as diverse as Brazil, Bangladesh, China, Malaysia and Thailand have experienced increases in inequality over the past decade or so (for Brazil between 1981 and 1990).
  • There is no necessary link between crises and rising inequality: in past Latin American crises inequality often rose; in Indonesia inequality appears to have actually fallen with a collapse in incomes of the top half of the distribution

Table 7. Percentage share of income (poorest and richest 20 percent of the population) a

High Inequality Countries

Lowest 20%

Highest 20%

Low Inequality Countries

Lowest 20%

Highest 20%

Guatemala

2.1

63.0

Slovak Republic

11.9

31.4

Paraguay

2.3

62.4

Czech Republic

10.5

37.4

Panama

2.3

60.4

Austria

10.4

33.3

Brazil

2.5

64.2

Norway

10.0

35.3

Colombia

3.1

61.5

Finland

10.0

35.8

Note: a Latest available survey year. Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators 1999.

At the regional level:

  • Data up to the mid-1990s show increases in inequality in Eastern Europe and Central Asia and possibly in Africa, declines in South Asia, and not much change elsewhere.

World-wide:

  • World inequality is mainly driven by differences between countries; this has risen sharply over the long haul.
  • The ratio of income per capita in the richest countries over that in the poorest countries has increased from eleven in 1870 to thirty-eight in 1960, and to fifty-two in 1985. The world distribution of income appears to have continued to widen over the recent decade, mainly due to rising inter-country differences.
  • There is some evidence of an increase in the Gini of the world distribution between the mid-1980s and the mid-1990s.
  • The ratio between average income of the world top 5 percent and world bottom 5 percent increased from 78 to 1 in 1988, to 123 to 1 in 1993.


Next: Social Indicators