"H.My., A.O.K."the
process whereby simple, low-income national economies are transformed into modern
industrial economies. Although the term is sometimes used as a synonym for economic
growth, generally it is employed to describe a change in a country's economy involving
qualitative as well as quantitative improvements. The theory of economic development--how
primitive and poor economies can evolve into sophisticated and relatively prosperous
ones--is of critical importance to underdeveloped countries, and it is usually in this
context that the issues of economic development are discussed.
Economic development first
became a major concern after World War II. As the era of European colonialism ended, many
former colonies and other countries with low living standards came to be termed
underdeveloped countries, to contrast their economies with those of the developed
countries, which were understood to be Canada, the United States, those of western Europe,
most eastern European countries, the then Soviet Union, Japan, South Africa, Australia,
and New Zealand. As living standards in most poor countries began to rise in subsequent
decades, they were renamed the developing countries.
There is no universally
accepted definition of what a developing country is; neither is there one of what
constitutes the process of economic development. Developing countries are usually
categorized by a per capita income criterion, and economic development is usually thought
to occur as per capita incomes rise. A country's per capita income (which is almost
synonymous with per capita output) is the best available measure of the value of the goods
and services available, per person, to the society per year. Although there are a number
of problems of measurement of both the level of per capita income and its rate of growth,
these two indicators are the best available to provide estimates of the level of economic
well-being within a country and of its economic growth.
It is well to consider some of
the statistical and conceptual difficulties of using the conventional criterion of
underdevelopment before analyzing the causes of underdevelopment. The statistical
difficulties are well known. To begin with, there are the awkward borderline cases. Even
if analysis is confined to the underdeveloped and developing countries in Asia, Africa,
and Latin America, there are rich oil countries that have per capita incomes well above
the rest but that are otherwise underdeveloped in their general economic characteristics.
Second, there are a number of technical difficulties that make the per capita incomes of
many underdeveloped countries (expressed in terms of an international currency, such as
the U.S. dollar) a very crude measure of their per capita real income. These difficulties
include the defectiveness of the basic national income and population statistics, the
inappropriateness of the official exchange rates at which the national incomes in terms of
the respective domestic currencies are converted into the common denominator of the U.S.
dollar, and the problems of estimating the value of the noncash components of real incomes
in the underdeveloped countries. Finally, there are conceptual problems in interpreting
the meaning of the international differences in the per capita income levels.
Although the difficulties with
income measures are well established, measures of per capita income correlate reasonably
well with other measures of economic well-being, such as life expectancy, infant mortality
rates, and literacy rates. Other indicators, such as nutritional status and the per capita
availability of hospital beds, physicians, and teachers, are also closely related to per
capita income levels. While a difference of, say, 10 percent in per capita incomes between
two countries would not be regarded as necessarily indicative of a difference in living
standards between them, actual observed differences are of a much larger magnitude.India's
per capita income, for example, was estimated at $270 in 1985. In contrast, Brazil's was
estimated to be $1,640, and Italy's was $6,520. While economists have cited a number of
reasons why the implication that Italy's living standard was 24 times greater than India's
might be biased upward, no one would doubt that the Italian living standard was
significantly higher than that of Brazil, which in turn was higher than India's by a wide
margin.
The interpretation of a low
per capita income level as an index of poverty in a material sense may be accepted with
two qualifications. First, the level of material living depends not on per capita income
as such but on per capita consumption. The two may differ considerably when a large
proportion of the national income is diverted from consumption to other purposes; for
example, through a policy of forced saving. Second, the poverty of a country is more
faithfully reflected by the representative standard of living of the great mass of its
people. This may be well below the simple arithmetic average of per capita income or
consumption when national income is very unequally distributed and there is a wide gap in
the standard of living between the rich and the poor.
The usual definition of a
developing country is that adopted by the World Bank: "low-income developing
countries" in 1985 were defined as those with per capita incomes below $400;
"middle-income developing countries" were defined as those with per capita
incomes between $400 and $4,000. To be sure, countries with the same per capita income may
not otherwise resemble one another: some countries may derive much of their incomes from
capital-intensive enterprises, such as the extraction of oil, whereas other countries with
similar per capita incomes may have more numerous and more productive uses of their labour
force to compensate for the absence of wealth in resources. Kuwait, for example, was
estimated to have a per capita income of $14,480 in 1985, but 50 percent of that income
originated from oil. In most regards, Kuwait's economic and social indicators fell well
below what other countries with similar per capita incomes had achieved. Centrally planned
economies are also generally regarded as a separate class, although China and North Korea
are universally considered developing countries. A major difficulty is that prices serve
less as indicators of relative scarcity in centrally planned economies and hence are less
reliable as indicators of the per capita availability of goods and services than in
market-oriented economies.
Estimates of percentage
increases in real per capita income are subject to a somewhat smaller margin of error than
are estimates of income levels. While year-to-year changes in per capita income are
heavily influenced by such factors as weather (which affects agricultural output, a large
component of income in most developing countries), a country's terms of trade, and other
factors, growth rates of per capita income over periods of a decade or more are strongly
indicative of the rate at which average economic well-being has increased in a country.